Stock Dividends: What to Expect for the New Year

The crazy roller coaster Stock Market ride of 2011 is almost finished. Please keep your hands inside until the car comes to a complete stop. It has been a wild ride and most of us are glad to be done with it. So now what do we do? Keep on investing the same way or maybe try out a smoother ride? There’s a way to still make a profit without resorting to Dramamine pills.

The economic choppiness is coming to a head with the age of dividend hikes.  The pressure is going to remain for companies to continue returning capital to shareholders while also looking for selective global growth opportunities.  The established Dow Jones Industrial Average components traditionally offer far higher dividend yields than the other top indexes and 24/7 Wall St. is offering a case-by-case outlook for what investors should expect in DJIA dividend trends in the weeks, months, and even in the year ahead.

If you add up the last 12 SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSE: DIA) dividend payments, the DJIA yield has been almost 2.5% over the last year.  The good news is that the yield is already higher if you include the hikes that are likely to be announced the price of the DJIA today should offer what will be closer to a 3% dividend yield in 2012.

The list of the 30 DJIA components is very long, but we have reviewed each and all of the following: Alcoa Inc. (NYSE: AA); American Express Company (NYSE: AXP); AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T); Bank of America Corporation (NYSE: BAC); The Boeing Company (NYSE: BA); Caterpillar, Inc. (NYSE: CAT); Chevron Corporation (NYSE: CVX); Cisco Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ: CSCO); The Coca-Cola Company (NYSE: KO); E.I. du Pont de Nemours and Company (NYSE: DD); Exxon Mobil Corporation (NYSE: XOM); General Electric Company (NYSE: GE); Home Depot, Inc. (NYSE: HD); Hewlett-Packard Company (NYSE: HPQ); International Business Machines (NYSE: IBM); Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC); Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ); J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM); Kraft Foods Inc. (NYSE: KFT); McDonald’s Corporation (NYSE: MCD); 3M Company (NYSE: MMM); Merck & Company, Inc. (NYSE: MRK); Microsoft Corporation (NASDAQ: MSFT); Pfizer, Inc. (NYSE: PFE); Procter & Gamble Company (NYSE: PG); The Travelers Companies, Inc. (NYSE: TRV); United Technologies Corporation (NYSE: UTX); Verizon Communications Inc. (NYSE: VZ); Wal-Mart Stores, Inc. (NYSE: WMT); and finally Walt Disney Company (NYSE: DIS).

We have broken out each DJIA component to review the history and expected dividend action individually.  While this is a no short read, dividend and income investors better pay close attention here.  Value investors should pay attention as well. It is these DJIA components which are often considered as the prize of the sector and many peers are facing the same trends today and tomorrow.  Our review focuses on when the last hikes have been seen, when the next dividend hike will come, and what the price and implied upside to the Thomson Reuters consensus price target offers.  We have also even shown an expected income payout ratio on each if applicable to further show which companies can boost their payouts ahead.


So now you have some things to think about over the Holidays.  Do you stick with the status quo or move move in another direction? Or maybe even a combination of the two. Better luck in the New Year.


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