Archive for 'S&P 500'

The constantly changing market always presents opportunities to make a profit. The key is to always be prepared for the coming changes and get in early.

The S&P 500 Index (NYSEARCA:SPY) – often used as a measure of the overall market – is trading at the highest multiples it has seen in over a decade. At roughly 17 times forward earnings, value investors are having a more difficult time than ever looking for names in which to invest. With that in mind, I have laid out what sectors are “must-avoids” as they are the most expensive as well as a few sectors that look like they could be the beneficiary of a value-oriented comeback in the market.

As I laid out in significantly more detail in one of my latest articles, Value Is About To Make A Comeback In A Big Way, I anticipate that value stocks are about to outperform growth stocks over the next five years for the following reasons:

  • Value has lagged growth since mid-2010, with the gap widening especially over the past year.

  • Value has been shown to outperform over longer periods of time.

  • Fearful investors will flee expensive growth stocks in anticipation of a market correction.

  • Most importantly of all, however, growth will significantly underperform value in a rising-rate environment.

See more here

Time to Rethink IBM Stock?

There hasn’t been much to write home about when it comes to IBM stock. It’s been all negative, with a lackluster second quarter, thirteen quarters in a row with a negative performance, dubbed one of the most universally despised companies in the world, blah, blah and more blah. It’s depressing. So, why rethink IBM stock? Because IBM has over$12 billion cash from last year, its dividend yield is a decent 3.2%, and because it has increased its dividend by 18% per year over the past five years. Bob Ciura makes a case for IBM below

It’s no secret that IBM (NYSE:IBM) is struggling. IBM is one of the most universally despised companies in the world. The stock has been on a nearly unimpeded decline for a disturbingly long time. Shares of IBM are down 17% in the past year. In fact, IBM was the worst performing stock in the Dow Jones Industrial Average in both 2013 and 2014. There don’t seem to be enough negative things to say about IBM.

The criticism of IBM got even more heated after the company’s second quarter earnings, when IBM posted its 13th quarter in a row of declining revenue. One bright spot was the company’s progress in what it calls its ‘strategic imperatives’, which are higher-growth businesses like big data, the cloud, and security. Unfortunately, strong growth in these areas wasn’t even enough to satisfy analysts, who were quick to point out that these businesses are still too small to have any material impact.

But it’s worth digging deeper into IBM’s turnaround to find out whether this is actually true.

Strategic Imperatives Are Not Getting Enough Credit

It seems nobody is giving much credit to IBM for its strategic imperatives, but this is a mistake. These businesses are growing at impressive rates. Cloud revenue soared more than 70% adjusted for currency and cloud delivered as a service has reached an $8.7 billion annualized rate. Social revenue jumped more than 40% year to date excluding currency, and mobile revenue has more than quadrupled. Collectively, the strategic imperatives grew revenue by more than 30% over the first two quarters of the year adjusting for currency and divestments.

The bearish argument is that $8 billion represents a drop in the bucket for a company the size of IBM, and therefore the strategic imperatives are too inconsequential to stem the decline in IBM’s other businesses. But again, it’s worth noting that excluding foreign exchange and divestments, the overall decline is very modest. And, should those businesses keep growing anywhere close to 30% per year, it won’t take long at all for those businesses to become a very important part of the overall company.

This is already starting to happen. IBM stated in its 2014 annual report that in 2009, its strategic imperatives represented just 13% of its total revenue. Last year, these businesses accounted for 27%, more than doubling in that time. This year, the percentage will be even higher, and that should only continue going forward.

Read more about IBM here

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

How to Achieve 80%+ Winning Stock Trades

Winning Stock TradeAfter a pretty impressive Bull Market run of over 1400 days, the S&P 500 seems to be in a sideways pattern for the moment and it has a lot of investors nervous. The old adage of “what goes up, must come down” comes into play. Is the market regrouping or headed for a major correction?  No one really knows and some people like Andy Crowder really don’t care. In his mind, it doesn’t matter if the Market moves up or down, he still makes money.

The S&P 500 has entered the third longest bull market in U.S. stock market history.

What is even more amazing is that during this bull market run the S&P has gone approximately 1,450 days without a 10% correction. The steady climb higher has no doubt made almost everyone exposed to equities a winner since 2009.

But the charge upward has slowed down dramatically over the past eight months. Since the beginning of November 2014, the S&P 500 has pushed higher roughly 5%, and most of those gains came in the last two months of 2014.

The market has remained relatively flat in 2015, vacillating between slightly positive and negative. There is no doubt that uncertainty has entered the market.

So, as an investor, are we supposed to sit on our laurels and allow Mr. Market to dictate our returns?

We all look like financial geniuses when the market is going higher. Investors take all the credit for their success when the market is soaring, but blame other factors, such as geopolitical concerns or central bankers, when investments sour. The talking heads make sure the culprits are front and center to make the blame game that much easier.

But, I don’t really care.

See the rest of Andy’s article

 

It’s a story that’s not new because we’ve all heard it so many times before over the years. Only the names have changed. New guy takes over the top spot in the company. Results are nothing to write home about or brag about at the golf course, but top guy still gets super achiever raises. Any manager below him would have been fired  a long time ago, or money taken out of his check for poor performance. Where’s the justice?

Let’s hear it for the corporate boss who gets a 20% raise — or maybe 88%, depending how you count — when his company lost shareholders 6.4% for the year, saw returns trail the S&P 500 by 8.5 percentage points, and has seen returns trail its industry by 12 points over the last three years.

This man of steel — whose compensation can withstand the slings and arrows of muddled performance — is none other than the chairman and chief executive of steelmaker Nucor (NUE), Daniel R. DiMicco. According to the proxy filed this morning, DiMicco’s total compensation rose to $8.1 million for 2011, from $6.8 million in 2010. The biggest chunk of that change came from his cash bonus, which rose to $1.5 million from $540,000.

That’s using the standard compensation calculation required by the Securities and Exchange Commission. But like many companies chafing at the comp-disclosure bit, Nucor offers an “alternative” calculus —  and one that is even more eye-opening: By Nucor’s measure, DiMicco’s 2011 pay rose a whopping 88% over the prior year, to $5.3 million from $2.8 million. (The chief difference between the two measures is that the “alternative” attempts to exclude “compensation that may possibly be earned but is not guaranteed” by ignoring options and reducing the stock-award value by some voodoo the company doesn’t explain very clearly.)

 Shareholders, meantime, would have done better to invest in just about any major stock index during 2011 (the period covered by the proxy). The one place shareholders would have done worse, on a total-return basis, is the rest of the steel industry, and we do have to give Nucor some credit here. Nucor outstripped the steel industry by 28 points in 2011, after trailing it by 9 points in 2010 and by 107 points in 2009. DiMicco has run the company since 2000, and has been chairman since 2006; looking over the past three, five and 10 years, the company’s total return has trailed the steel industry’s by between 5 and 12 percentage points, and the S&P 500 by even more.
The shareholders of  this company would have been a lot better off by spreading the risk into other investments. Get #1 Strong Buy Picks from Zacks

Mosaic (NYSE: MOS) Public Offering in Round Two

The Mosaic Company (NYSE: MOS) announced today that the previously announced secondary offering (the “offering”) of 18 million shares of its common stock, related to Mosaic’s inclusion into the S&P 500 Index, has priced at a public offering price of $57.65 per share.

The secondary offering is comprised of 18 million shares owned by the Margaret A. Cargill trusts. In addition, the underwriters have been granted a 30-day option to purchase up to 2.7 million additional shares from the selling stockholders to cover over-allotments, if any.

Mosaic will not receive any proceeds from the offering and there will be no change to the number of outstanding shares or earnings per share of Mosaic as a result of the transaction. The offering is expected to close on September 29, 2011.

A registration statement on Form S-3 relating to these securities has been filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission and became effective on June 23, 2011.  This announcement shall not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation of an offer to buy, nor shall there be any offer of these securities in any jurisdiction in which such offer, solicitation or sale would be unlawful prior to the registration or qualification under the securities laws of such jurisdiction.

J.P. Morgan Securities LLC and UBS Securities LLC served as the joint book-running managers for the offering.  A prospectus supplement relating to the offering has been filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission.  A copy of the prospectus supplement and the accompanying base prospectus are available and may be obtained from http://www.sec.gov or from one of the following banks involved in the transaction.

J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
c/o Broadridge Financial Solutions
1155 Long Island Avenue
Edgewood, NY 11717
Telephone: (866) 803-9204

UBS Securities LLC
Attention: Prospectus Department
299 Park Avenue
New York, NY 10171
Telephone: (888) 827-7275

About The Mosaic Company

The Mosaic Company is one of the world’s leading producers and marketers of concentrated phosphate and potash crop nutrients. Mosaic is a single source provider of phosphate and potash fertilizers and feed ingredients for the global agriculture industry. More information on the company is available at www.mosaicco.com.

The Mosaic Company has filed a registration statement (including a prospectus) with the SEC for the offering to which this communication relates. Before you invest, you should read the prospectus in that registration statement and other documents filed with the SEC for more complete information about The Mosaic Company and this offering. You may get these documents for free by visiting EDGAR on the SEC Web site at www.sec.gov. Alternatively, The Mosaic Company, any underwriter or any dealer participating in the offering will arrange to send you the prospectus if you request it by calling toll-free (866) 803-9204 or (888) 827-7275

http://www.mosaicco.com

New S&P 500 Index Options Product Begins Trading

CBOE Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: CBOE) announced today that it will begin trading SPXpm, its new S&P 500 Index options product, on Tuesday, October 4.  SPXpm options will be traded on the Company’s all-electronic C2 Options Exchange (C2).

C2’s SPXpm product is a cash-settled index option based on the S&P 500 Index, the premier benchmark of the broader U.S. market.  SPXpm is similar in structure to the Chicago Board Options Exchange’s (CBOE) flagship S&P 500 SPX contract, the most-actively-traded U.S. index option product, except it has “p.m.” settlement.

“We are pleased to announce a launch date for what we believe will be another major product for CBOE Holdings,” said CBOE Holdings Chairman and Chief Executive Officer William J. Brodsky.  “In designing an electronic compliment to our flagship SPX option, we worked closely with customers to create the “best in class” among electronically traded S&P 500 products. The result is a product tailored to provide point-and-click access to the S&P 500 Index, with greater efficiency, greater control and lower costs.”

One SPXpm option contract is ten times larger than one SPDR ETF options contract (SPY), significantly lowering the cost of accessing a p.m.-settled S&P 500 contract.  The new contract also features the ease of cash settlement, as opposed to physical settlement in ETF options.  Finally, SPXpm uses European exercise, which eliminates the risk of early assignment.

SPXpm should appeal to a diverse group of customers including active traders, high-net-worth investors, retail online users and high frequency traders.  OTC participants may use SPXpm as an exchange-traded alternative that eliminates counterparty risk.

With SPXpm’s launch on C2, trading alongside SPX on CBOE, customers will have two very deep pools of liquidity in which to trade S&P 500 cash index options – one that favors the convenience of screen trading, and one that provides the flexibility afforded by floor trading to negotiate large, complex orders.

SPXpm Contract Specifications:
Symbol SPXpm
Settlement PM-settled, European style exercise
Multiplier $100
Premium Quote Stated in decimals. One point equals $100. Minimum tick for options trading below 3.00 is 0.05 ($5.00) and for all other series, 0.10 ($10.00).
Strike Price Intervals The minimum interval for SPXpm options shall be no less than five points.
Expiration Months Up to twelve near-term contracts.  LEAPS may also be listed.
Expiration Date Saturday following the third Friday of the expiration month.
Last Trading Day Trading in SPXpm options will ordinarily cease on the business day (usually a Friday) preceding the expiration date.
Trading Hours 8:30 a.m. to 3:15 p.m. (CT)

A complete overview of SPXpm can be found at: http://www.cboe.com/SPXpm.

CBOE Holdings, Inc. is the holding company for Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE), C2 Options Exchange and other subsidiaries.  CBOE, the largest U.S. options exchange and creator of listed options, continues to set the bar for options trading through product innovation, trading technology and investor education. CBOE offers equity, index and ETF options, including proprietary products, such as S&P 500 options (SPX), the most active U.S. index option, and options on the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX). Other products engineered by CBOE include equity options, security index options, LEAPS options, FLEX options, and benchmark products such as the CBOE S&P 500 BuyWrite Index (BXM). CBOE’s Hybrid Trading System incorporates electronic and open-outcry trading, enabling customers to choose their trading method. CBOE’s Hybrid is powered by CBOEdirect, a proprietary, state-of-the-art electronic platform that also supports C2 Options Exchange (C2), the CBOE Futures Exchange (CFE), CBOE Stock Exchange (CBSX) and OneChicago. CBOE is home to the world-renowned Options Institute and www.cboe.com, named “Best of the Web” for options information and education.

CBOE is regulated by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), with all trades cleared by the OCC.

CBOE-C

CBOE-C2

CBOE®, Chicago Board Options Exchange®, CBSX®, CBOE Stock Exchange®, CFE®, CBOEdirect®, FLEX®, Hybrid®, LEAPS®, CBOE Volatility Index® and VIX® are registered trademarks, and BuyWrite(SM), BXM(SM), SPX(SM), CBOE Futures Exchange(SM) and The Options Institute are servicemarks of Chicago Board Options Exchange, Incorporated (CBOE).  SPXpm(SM), C2(SM), and C2 Options Exchange(SM) are service marks of C2 Options Exchange, Incorporated (C2).  Standard & Poor’s®, S&P®, S&P 500® and SPDR® are registered trademarks of Standard & Poor’s Financial Services, LLC and have been licensed for use by CBOE and C2.  SPXpm is not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by Standard & Poor’s, and Standard & Poor’s makes no representation regarding the advisability of investing in SPXpm.

This press release may contain forward-looking statements, within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995.  Forward-looking statements are those statements that reflect our expectations, assumptions or projections about the future and involve a number of risks and uncertainties.  These statements are only predictions based on our current expectations and projections about future events. There are important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from that expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements, including: legislative or regulatory changes; changes in law or government policy; increasing competition; loss of our exclusive licenses; decrease in trading volumes; an inability to introduce competitive new products and services; competitive pressures on our existing products, services and trading access fees; changes in price levels and volatility in the derivatives and equity markets; economic, political and market conditions; increases in our fixed costs and expenses; loss of existing customers; difficulty developing strategic relationships and attracting new customers; increased costs related to, or the loss of, intellectual property; rapid technological developments; increases in trading volume and order transaction traffic that we cannot accommodate; our ability to maintain our growth effectively; damage to our reputation and brand name; loss of market data revenue; detrimental changes to our fee structure; failure to effectively monitor and manage our risks; customer consolidation; and changes to the tax treatment for options trading.

More detailed information about factors that may affect our performance may be found in our filings with the SEC, including in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2010 and other filings made from time to time with the SEC.

http://www.cboe.com

Stock Fund Continues Dominance Over S&P 500

American Independence is pleased to announce that the American Independence Stock Fund continued its status as the ONLY Large Cap Fund that has outperformed the S&P 500 EACH YEAR since 2000.   This follows Morningstar’s previously published “Fund Times” article on December 24, 2009, that notes the Stock Fund as the sole Large Cap Fund to have this distinction for the previous years.  The Stock Fund’s 2010 net performance was greater than that of the S&P by 0.49%.

As of December 31, 2010, The total return* for the Stock Fund, Russell 1000 Value Index, and S&P 500 Index were as follows:

Stock Fund – 1 Year = 15.55%, 3 Year = 3.38%, 5 Year = 7.16%, and 10 Year = 6.66%

Russell 1000 Value Index – 1 Year = 15.51%, 3 Year = (4.42%), 5 Year = 1.28%, and 10 Year = 3.26%; and

S&P 500 Index – 1 Year = 15.06%, 3 Year = (2.86%), 5 Year = 2.29%, an 10 Year = 1.41%

The Fund’s Expense Ratio ** : 1.07% (net expense); 1.41% (gross expense)

* Time-weighted rates of returns.  All returns for periods less than one year are not annualized.  The Fund’s returns are after fees and expenses.  The Indices do not incur expenses.

** The expense ratios are per the most recent Prospectus dated March 1, 2010 and include the weighted average expenses of any acquired fund fees. Expense ratios may fluctuate. The Adviser has contractual agreed to an expense cap of 1.06%, which does not included Acquired Fund Fees, through March 1, 2011. Please refer to the Fund’s most recent semi-annual report, annual report or prospectus for the most updated expense ratios.

Said John J. Pileggi, Managing Partner of American Independence Financial Services, LLC, the Fund’s advisor, “We once again point with extreme pride to the long term results of the Stock Fund.  The financial press continues to produce articles that describe the challenges faced by some of the largest and most well known mutual fund Value managers in terms of surpassing their benchmarks, including the S&P 500.  While no one can predict with certainty the future movement of securities prices, we are pleased that our Stock Fund is alone in its ability to add value over unmanaged benchmark results, and has consistently and constantly outperformed some legendary managers.  We can modestly say that the Stock Fund has been unique for over a decade.”

Jeff Miller, portfolio manager of the Stock Fund since May of 2007 stated that, “My team and I are pleased that once again our process has proven itself in the markets.  By sticking to our discipline of searching for strong operating companies that are temporarily weak in the market, and focusing on those companies that have a high return on invested capital that sell for a low price to free cash flow, we were able to once again outperform our benchmark.  In 2010, we avoided the 2 worst performing sectors, Utilities and Healthcare, while investing selectively in strong consumer, financial and information technology companies.  While the outlook for the markets is always uncertain, we believe that our process allows us to provide excellent results for investors over time.”

American Independence Stock Fund is available on many brokerage firm platforms, and through Registered Investment Advisors. Please call American Independence at 1-866-410-2006 to find out how you can purchase shares of the fund.

About American Independence Financial Services, LLC

American Independence Financial Services, LLC (“AIFS”) is the investment adviser and administrator for the American Independence Funds featuring the 5 Star Morningstar rated Stock Fund. Jeff Miller was noted for his management of the American Independence Stock Fund, which was listed in Morningstar’s “Large Cap Funds on Winning Streaks” on July 11, 2010. It is currently the only Large Cap Value fund to have out-performed the S&P 500 every year since the end of 1999. The American Independence Fund family is currently comprised of 15 funds. AIFS also has a strong SMA business featuring the tactical bond strategies, as well as Large Cap Value. Total firm assets under management are approximately $1.1 billion.

INQUIRIES:

American Independence Financial Services, LLC

Eric Rubin, President

Tel. 646-747-3477

erubin@americanifs.com

Important Disclosures

Investing in the Funds involves risk. Equity securities are more volatile and carry more risk than other forms of investments. The Funds may invest in small and mid cap securities that are more volatile than large cap stocks.

For more complete information on the American Independence Funds, you can obtain a prospectus containing complete information for the funds by calling 866-410-2006, or by visiting www.aifunds.com . Please read the prospectus carefully before investing. You should consider the fund’s investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses carefully before you invest or send money. Information about these and other important subjects is in the Funds’ prospectus.

Current performance may be lower or higher than the performance data quoted. To obtain performance information current to the most recent month-end, please call 866.410.2006, or visit www.aifunds.com .

The Russell 1000 Value Index measures the performance of the large-cap value segment of the U.S. equity universe.  It includes those Russell 1000 companies with lower price-to-book ratios and lower expected growth values.  The index is not available for purchase. The S&P 500 Index has been widely regarded as the best single gauge of the large cap U.S. equities market since the index was first published in 1957.  The index is not available for purchase.

The American Independence Stock Fund I Class received a 5-star rating for overall performance, for the period ending December 31, 2010, 5 stars for 3-year performance among 1,753 Large Blend funds, 5 stars for 5-year performance among 1,457 funds, and 5 stars for 10-year performance among 802 funds. For each fund with at least a 3-year history, Morningstar calculates a Morningstar Rating based on a Morningstar Risk-Adjusted Return measure that accounts for variation in a fund’s monthly performance (including the effects of sales charges, loads, and redemption fees), placing more emphasis on downward variations and rewarding consistent performance. The top 10% of funds in each category receive 5 stars, the next 22.5% receive 4 stars, the next 35% receive 3 stars, the next 22.5% receive 2 stars and the bottom 10% receive 1 star. (Each share class is counted as a fraction of one fund within this scale and is rated separately, which may cause slight variations in the distribution percentages.) The Overall Morningstar Rating for a fund is derived from a weighted average of the performance figures associated with its 3-, 5- and 10-year (if applicable) Morningstar Rating metrics.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Investment return and principal value will fluctuate with changing market conditions so that when redeemed, shares may be worth more or less than their original costs.

American Independence Financial Services, LLC is a limited liability company.

Shares of the American Independence Funds are distributed by Matrix Capital Group, Inc., which is not affiliated with American Independence Financial Services, LLC.

Not FDIC Insured – May Lose Value – No Bank Guarantee

CONTACT: Eric Rubin, President, American Independence Financial Services, LLC, +1-646-747-3477, erubin@americanifs.com

Web Site: http://www.aifunds.com